Saturday September 6, 2003

The  50th Woodward Stakes
9th @ Belmont
All carry 126 except Hold That Tiger


1. Puzzlement...Chavez...Continuously seems just short of nailing the BIG ones. The win at the SPA was nice, but this is Belmont where he is 0 for 5. Always respect the crafty Jerkens who seems ageless at this point. But it's my feeling he'll revert to regular Belmont form and finish no better than 3rd.

2. Mineshaft...Albarado...Formidable, rested, and looking for Candy Ride at this point. 1 for 1 at Belmont which was the Suburban where he shamed Volponi and the perpetual bridesmaid, Dollar Bill. You remember Volponi? The spoiler of the pick 6 scam? I don't see any in this field beating this guy.

3. Northern Rock...Migliore...At first glance, you might say "What the hell!" But he belongs, if for no other reason than his performance in the Whitney where he dug in on the rail beaten only 3 lengths by Medaglia. Of course, Medaglia then promptly wilted in the Pacific Classic against the aforementioned Candy Ride. His effort first off the boat here at Belmont would put him in the exacta. Lone speed?

4. Thompson Rouge...Bailey...Looks as though this guy prefers the dirt and he get a chance to test his class here. While a continual also-ran on the weeds, he was competitive, until he tried them here. He certainly came to life at Saratoga when trying the dirt for the first time. He's not likely to be fast enough to make a difference. It's not often that the Mott-Bailey combo finish last in a grade 1, but they're looking squarely down that barrel here.

5. Hold That Tiger...Prado...Can't help but feel that connections wish they had brought him over to prep and run in the Derby. He seems uninterested in the grass since being taken back across the pond after last year's smashing effort in the BC Juvenile. Now he gets his chance--against arguably one of the stronger handicap candidates in recent memory. Come from behind style will work against him in this small field. Could get 2nd.


       Mineshaft looks much to tough here. Even though this is only a prep, he should ace this with ease.

       He doesn't have a chance to win, but Northern Rock should be on the lead and if he can set sensible fractions, can hold for 2nd.

        Hold That Tiger will likely be overbet because of last year's hype, but he could make an appearance in the exacta.



1. Mineshaft

2. Northern Rock

3. Hold That Tiger


2003 bBra